Saturday 19 November 2016

Is AAX On The Way To Hard Landing?


AAX 渡过了灾难的一周,这也许会被AAX 突然的下跌杀得措手不及,其实魔鬼藏在细节里,至于是那些细节,在之前的文章已经提过了,这里就不多细说。从日线图,16/11 的一根长红跌破了中期上升趋势线,然而就在18/11 也就是这周的最后一个交易日收高,以这样的走势对我而言看起来会比较像是逃命波,至于是否真的逃命,那就要看AAX在下一周的表现了,短期支撑在0.38。

A disaster week for AAX and this might surprised when it fell suddenly. But, the devils is hide in the details, as this has been mentioned in the previous post. From the daily chart, 16/11 AAX fell below the mid-term upward trend line, but it closed high in 18/11 which is the last trading day of this week. So, this is more likely an escape signal for me, but whether it really escape, then have to depends on the performance in next week, so short-term support at 0.38.



好了,如果这个真是逃命,那么又会逃到那边?从周线图来看,我认为会去到0.30 - 0.35 之间(波段跌幅到0.325)。然而,就周线的走势来看,这其实只是中期走势的横盘整理,而我觉得这个横盘走势还剩下6 - 8 个周。如果横盘是可以维持在短线支撑之上,那么就是属于强势整理,反之,就是弱势整理。

从月线图来看,重要支撑也是一样在0.325,那么0.325 是不能被跌破,如果价位继续再往下,恐怕连Tony 也要跳飞机,因为AAX  要硬着路了。

Well, where is the next support if this is an escape signal? I will think in the between of 0.30 - 0.35 (estimation target price is 0.325) if observe from weekly chart. However, this is looks like a sideways in mid-term trend and still have 6 - 8 week to go. So, If still able to maintain above the short-term support, then it will be a strong trend, otherwise it will be a weak trend.


From the monthly chart, the key support is the same in 0.325, but once broken, even Tony have to jump off the plane, because AAX is going to hard landing.

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Timing...

 Today is the first post without any chart... Just because of I realised the important of timing...